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Markets·October 18, 2026 at 10:07 PM EDT·4 sources

Indonesian Stocks Tumble to Lowest Since 2020 After MSCI Warning

MSCI -0.7%GS
MSCI · last 30 trading days+8.2% since the news
News
Estimated passive outflows if MSCI removes Indonesiaapproximately $5.6 billion
Net foreign investor withdrawals from Indonesian equities$5.1 billion
Additional potential outflows if FTSE Russell follows$2.7 billion

What happened

  • Indonesia’s benchmark stock index fell over 5% to its lowest level since early October 2020 as MSCI downgrade fears intensified.
  • MSCI proposed reclassifying Indonesia from emerging-market to standalone status, potentially removing Indonesian equities from major global benchmarks.
  • Authorities plan measures including excluding tightly owned stocks from the benchmark, while Bank Indonesia faces pressure to raise rates.
Estimated passive outflows if MSCI removes Indonesia
approximately $5.6 billion
Additional potential outflows if FTSE Russell follows
$2.7 billion
MSCI Indonesia Index decline this year as of Friday
47%
Net foreign investor withdrawals from Indonesian equities
$5.1 billion

Why it matters

The potential MSCI reclassification could accelerate foreign outflows, pressure the rupiah and bonds, and affect equity, credit and capital-markets investors. Authorities’ response and possible rate hikes are key to market stability and future index eligibility.

What to watch. MSCI is expected to make a final decision by June; Indonesian officials also plan to meet MSCI executives on Monday, while Bank Indonesia’s rate decision faces increased scrutiny on Wednesday.

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Timeline

  1. EarlierOct 18
    Tokenized stock trading takes off overseas as Goldman, other U.S. companies object
  2. First reported by BloombergOct 19
    Indonesian Stocks Tumble to Lowest Since 2020 After MSCI Warning
  3. CNBC reportsOct 19
    Indonesian stocks plunge to six-year low as MSCI downgrade fears mount
  4. Financial Times reportsOct 19
    Indonesia expels tightly held companies from Jakarta index in bid to avoid MSCI downgrade
  5. The Wall Street Journal reportsOct 23
    Indonesia’s Sovereign Fund Sticks With Investment Strategy After MSCI Warning

Who is involved

Indonesian Stocks Tumble to Lowest Since 2020 After MSCI WarningMSCI Inc.MSCIIndonesiaGoldman SachsGSFTSE Russell
CompanyAgency

Sources (4)

  1. BloombergOct 19
    Indonesian Stocks Tumble to Lowest Since 2020 After MSCI Warning
  2. CNBCOct 19
    Indonesian stocks plunge to six-year low as MSCI downgrade fears mount
  3. Financial TimesOct 19
    Indonesia expels tightly held companies from Jakarta index in bid to avoid MSCI downgrade
  4. The Wall Street JournalOct 23
    Indonesia’s Sovereign Fund Sticks With Investment Strategy After MSCI Warning

Related

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